PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#85 in the world · win 2:0series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN#23 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeShindeN ban
50%47%
ShindeN · 8 mapsnearly even +3%paiN · 11 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
57%42%
ShindeN · 10 mapsedge ShindeN +15%paiN · 8 maps
Dust2paiN pick
55%60%
ShindeN · 7 mapsedge paiN +5%paiN · 6 maps
CachepaiN ban
40%20%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge ShindeN +20%paiN · 6 maps
MirageShindeN ban
44%45%
ShindeN · 5 mapsnearly even -1%paiN · 7 maps
AncientpaiN ban
64%50%
ShindeN · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +14%paiN · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%50%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge ShindeN +17%paiN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Nuke
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickShindeN take Inferno
4. PickpaiN take Dust2
5. BanpaiN remove Cache
6. BanShindeN remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
ShindeN 68%paiN 32%
The model gave 68% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
ShindeN 42%paiN 58%
The model gave 58% on paiN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 77%
Series resultShindeN 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2