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ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSINNERS pick
63%47%
SINNERS · 20 mapsedge SINNERS +16%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 maps
Ancientpossible decider
61%57%
SINNERS · 14 mapsnearly even +4%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 17 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
42%47%
SINNERS · 15 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +5%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 11 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
63%33%
SINNERS · 20 mapsedge SINNERS +30%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 maps
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
45%68%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +23%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 18 maps
InfernoSINNERS ban
40%60%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +20%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 11 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%50%
SINNERS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
3. PickSINNERS take Mirage
4. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
6. BanSINNERS remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (61% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
SINNERS 42%Ninjas in Pyjamas 58%
The model gave 58% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
SINNERS 68%Ninjas in Pyjamas 32%
The model gave 68% on SINNERS — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
SINNERS 28%Ninjas in Pyjamas 72%
The model gave 72% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 54%
Series resultNinjas in Pyjamas 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3