Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
QUAZAR#94 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS pick
54%50%
SINNERS · 9 mapsnearly even +4%QUAZAR · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
45%62%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge QUAZAR +17%QUAZAR · 9 maps
MirageQUAZAR pick
55%77%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge QUAZAR +22%QUAZAR · 9 maps
InfernoQUAZAR ban
50%56%
SINNERS · 6 mapsedge QUAZAR +6%QUAZAR · 5 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%58%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge QUAZAR +8%QUAZAR · 8 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
40%45%
SINNERS · 1 mapedge QUAZAR +5%QUAZAR · 7 maps
AncientQUAZAR ban
36%50%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge QUAZAR +14%QUAZAR · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanQUAZAR remove Ancient
3. PickSINNERS take Dust2
4. PickQUAZAR take Mirage
5. BanQUAZAR remove Inferno
6. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
DeciderCache (45% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
SINNERS 24%QUAZAR 76%
The model gave 76% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
SINNERS 57%QUAZAR 43%
The model gave 57% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Cacheprediction correct3:13
SINNERS 34%QUAZAR 66%
The model gave 66% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 63%
Series resultQUAZAR 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3