CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS pick
67%46%
SINNERS · 14 mapsedge SINNERS +21%The Last Resort · 9 maps
AncientThe Last Resort ban
50%38%
SINNERS · 12 mapsedge SINNERS +12%The Last Resort · 9 maps
CacheSINNERS ban
47%64%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge The Last Resort +17%The Last Resort · 7 maps
NukeThe Last Resort pick
38%56%
SINNERS · 4 mapsedge The Last Resort +18%The Last Resort · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%64%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge The Last Resort +19%The Last Resort · 7 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
60%40%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge SINNERS +20%The Last Resort · 1 map
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%56%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +6%The Last Resort · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. PickSINNERS take Dust2
4. PickThe Last Resort take Nuke
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Ancient
6. BanSINNERS remove Cache
DeciderInferno (45% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
SINNERS 72%The Last Resort 28%
The model gave 72% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
SINNERS 30%The Last Resort 70%
The model gave 70% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 69%
Series resultSINNERS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2