CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Atreides#147 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSPARTA pick
55%74%
SPARTA · 18 mapsedge Atreides +19%Atreides · 19 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
59%33%
SPARTA · 28 mapsedge SPARTA +26%Atreides · 8 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%53%
SPARTA · 17 mapsedge Atreides +20%Atreides · 11 maps
InfernoAtreides pick
43%57%
SPARTA · 10 mapsedge Atreides +14%Atreides · 10 maps
NukeSPARTA ban
50%56%
SPARTA · 14 mapsedge Atreides +6%Atreides · 5 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
45%43%
SPARTA · 7 mapsnearly even +2%Atreides · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%55%
SPARTA · 2 mapsedge Atreides +22%Atreides · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanAtreides remove Dust2
3. PickSPARTA take Mirage
4. PickAtreides take Inferno
5. BanAtreides remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (33% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct7:13
SPARTA 47%Atreides 53%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
SPARTA 47%Atreides 53%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 54%
Series resultAtreides 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2