CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
66%57%
SPARTA · 34 mapsedge SPARTA +9%ex-Young Ninjas · 3 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
40%60%
SPARTA · 21 mapedge ex-Young Ninjas +20%ex-Young Ninjas · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
46%33%
SPARTA · 20 mapsedge SPARTA +13%ex-Young Ninjas · 2 maps
Nukeex-Young Ninjas pick
42%67%
SPARTA · 15 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +25%ex-Young Ninjas · 2 maps
Infernoex-Young Ninjas ban
53%50%
SPARTA · 11 mapsnearly even +3%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Cacheex-Young Ninjas ban
45%50%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +5%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
OverpassSPARTA ban
44%50%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +6%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Cache
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. Pickex-Young Ninjas take Nuke
5. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Inferno
6. BanSPARTA remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (46% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
SPARTA 62%ex-Young Ninjas 38%
The model gave 62% on SPARTA — the map was taken by ex-Young Ninjas.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
SPARTA 24%ex-Young Ninjas 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-Young Ninjas — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
SPARTA 63%ex-Young Ninjas 37%
The model gave 63% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 75%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3