CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
50%43%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge SPARTA +7%Falcons Force · 3 maps
MirageFalcons Force pick
33%57%
SPARTA · 8 mapsedge Falcons Force +24%Falcons Force · 3 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%38%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +5%Falcons Force · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
55%33%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +22%Falcons Force · 2 maps
OverpassFalcons Force ban
56%50%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge SPARTA +6%Falcons Force · 0 maps
InfernoFalcons Force ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%40%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge SPARTA +10%Falcons Force · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanFalcons Force remove Overpass
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickFalcons Force take Mirage
5. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (55% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed19:16
SPARTA 42%Falcons Force 58%
The model gave 58% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
SPARTA 60%Falcons Force 40%
The model gave 60% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 51%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2