CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
62%56%
SPARTA · 30 mapsedge SPARTA +6%G2 Ares · 14 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
57%64%
SPARTA · 19 mapsedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 18 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
36%44%
SPARTA · 18 mapsedge G2 Ares +8%G2 Ares · 12 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
40%58%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge G2 Ares +18%G2 Ares · 15 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
48%50%
SPARTA · 17 mapsnearly even -2%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
45%43%
SPARTA · 7 mapsnearly even +2%G2 Ares · 10 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%50%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
5. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
6. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
DeciderOverpass (45% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
SPARTA 59%G2 Ares 41%
The model gave 59% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
SPARTA 50%G2 Ares 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction missed16:13
SPARTA 33%G2 Ares 67%
The model gave 67% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 62%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3