?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
67%54%
SPARTA · 32 mapsedge SPARTA +13%Rune Eaters · 24 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
52%57%
SPARTA · 19 mapsedge Rune Eaters +5%Rune Eaters · 24 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
38%57%
SPARTA · 20 mapsedge Rune Eaters +19%Rune Eaters · 19 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
42%44%
SPARTA · 15 mapsnearly even -2%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
29%50%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
44%33%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge SPARTA +11%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (29% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
SPARTA 29%Rune Eaters 71%
The model gave 71% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
SPARTA 66%Rune Eaters 34%
The model gave 66% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
SPARTA 45%Rune Eaters 55%
The model gave 55% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 55%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3