CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#97 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#134 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFalcons Force ban
59%33%
Spirit Academy · 23 mapsedge Spirit Academy +26%Falcons Force · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
52%50%
Spirit Academy · 17 mapsnearly even +2%Falcons Force · 12 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
72%56%
Spirit Academy · 21 mapedge Spirit Academy +16%Falcons Force · 5 maps
CacheFalcons Force pick
42%57%
Spirit Academy · 15 mapsedge Falcons Force +15%Falcons Force · 10 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
67%50%
Spirit Academy · 17 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Falcons Force · 2 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
58%55%
Spirit Academy · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Falcons Force · 7 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%53%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Falcons Force · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickFalcons Force take Cache
5. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (52% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Spirit Academy 69%Falcons Force 31%
The model gave 69% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Spirit Academy 49%Falcons Force 51%
The model gave 51% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 57%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2