CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MAYBE#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
53%30%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsedge Spirit Academy +23%MAYBE · 6 maps
AncientMAYBE ban
75%30%
Spirit Academy · 12 mapsedge Spirit Academy +45%MAYBE · 6 maps
CacheMAYBE pick
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 10 mapsnearly even +0%MAYBE · 4 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
45%55%
Spirit Academy · 7 mapsedge MAYBE +10%MAYBE · 7 maps
NukeMAYBE ban
40%50%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsedge MAYBE +10%MAYBE · 2 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy pick
75%43%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +32%MAYBE · 3 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
60%60%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%MAYBE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanMAYBE remove Ancient
3. PickSpirit Academy take Anubis
4. PickMAYBE take Cache
5. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
DeciderDust2 (53% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
Spirit Academy 38%MAYBE 62%
The model gave 62% on MAYBE — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Spirit Academy 89%MAYBE 11%
The model gave 89% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 59%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2