CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#97 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Spirit Academy ban
44%50%
Spirit Academy · 12 mapsedge Saint Sinners +6%Saint Sinners · 0 maps
NukeSaint Sinners pick
33%50%
Spirit Academy · 8 mapsedge Saint Sinners +17%Saint Sinners · 2 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
77%50%
Spirit Academy · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +27%Saint Sinners · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%40%
Spirit Academy · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Saint Sinners · 1 map
MirageSpirit Academy ban
43%40%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Saint Sinners · 1 map
AnubisSaint Sinners ban
71%50%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +21%Saint Sinners · 0 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy pick
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Saint Sinners · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
3. PickSpirit Academy take Default
4. PickSaint Sinners take Nuke
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Anubis
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Spirit Academy 79%Saint Sinners 21%
The model gave 79% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Spirit Academy 50%Saint Sinners 50%
The model gave 50% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 69%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2