BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit#1 in the world · win 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DENDELE ban
67%50%
Spirit · 14 mapsedge Spirit +17%DENDELE · 0 maps
MirageDENDELE ban
69%50%
Spirit · 12 mapsedge Spirit +19%DENDELE · 2 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
75%71%
Spirit · 8 mapsnearly even +4%DENDELE · 3 maps
CacheSpirit ban
38%57%
Spirit · 4 mapsedge DENDELE +19%DENDELE · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
56%50%
Spirit · 5 mapsedge Spirit +6%DENDELE · 2 maps
AncientSpirit pick
78%40%
Spirit · 5 mapsedge Spirit +38%DENDELE · 1 map
InfernoSpirit ban
50%50%
Spirit · 0 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit remove Inferno
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickSpirit take Ancient
4. PickDENDELE take Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
6. BanSpirit remove Cache
DeciderNuke (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Spirit 86%DENDELE 14%
The model gave 86% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
Spirit 29%DENDELE 71%
The model gave 71% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit · 93%
Series resultSpirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2