ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · win 13:9series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 13:9
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSportsBetExpert ban
75%75%
SportsBetExpert · 12 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 16 maps
Miragepossible decider
82%53%
SportsBetExpert · 13 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +29%HAVU · 11 maps
Dust2SportsBetExpert ban
50%36%
SportsBetExpert · 10 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +14%HAVU · 10 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
72%44%
SportsBetExpert · 14 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +28%HAVU · 5 maps
CacheHAVU ban
42%33%
SportsBetExpert · 8 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +9%HAVU · 5 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
64%40%
SportsBetExpert · 7 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +24%HAVU · 1 map
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
50%44%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +6%HAVU · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. BanSportsBetExpert remove Dust2
4. BanHAVU remove Cache
5. BanSportsBetExpert remove Nuke
6. BanHAVU remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (82% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
SportsBetExpert 80%HAVU 20%
The model gave 80% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Model check result
Model favoriteSportsBetExpert · 59%
Series resultSportsBetExpert 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1