FRAG University 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NRG#30 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSportsBetExpert pick
81%43%
SportsBetExpert · 17 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +38%NRG · 10 maps
InfernoNRG ban
70%46%
SportsBetExpert · 16 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +24%NRG · 9 maps
CacheNRG pick
38%67%
SportsBetExpert · 9 mapsedge NRG +29%NRG · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
76%75%
SportsBetExpert · 13 mapsnearly even +1%NRG · 8 maps
Dust2SportsBetExpert ban
50%70%
SportsBetExpert · 10 mapsedge NRG +20%NRG · 6 maps
AnubisNRG ban
62%50%
SportsBetExpert · 9 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +12%NRG · 0 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
50%55%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge NRG +5%NRG · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
2. BanNRG remove Anubis
3. PickSportsBetExpert take Mirage
4. PickNRG take Cache
5. BanNRG remove Inferno
6. BanSportsBetExpert remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (76% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
SportsBetExpert 86%NRG 14%
The model gave 86% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by NRG.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
SportsBetExpert 22%NRG 78%
The model gave 78% on NRG — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
SportsBetExpert 52%NRG 48%
The model gave 52% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 80%
Series resultNRG 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3