ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · win 13:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 13:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoXEPT ban
68%40%
SportsBetExpert · 15 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +28%XEPT · 1 map
MirageXEPT ban
83%33%
SportsBetExpert · 14 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +50%XEPT · 2 maps
NukeXEPT ban
75%50%
SportsBetExpert · 12 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +25%XEPT · 0 maps
Dust2SportsBetExpert ban
50%50%
SportsBetExpert · 10 mapsnearly even +0%XEPT · 0 maps
CacheSportsBetExpert ban
38%50%
SportsBetExpert · 9 mapsedge XEPT +12%XEPT · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
58%50%
SportsBetExpert · 8 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +8%XEPT · 0 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
50%40%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +10%XEPT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
2. BanXEPT remove Nuke
3. BanSportsBetExpert remove Cache
4. BanXEPT remove Inferno
5. BanSportsBetExpert remove Dust2
6. BanXEPT remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
SportsBetExpert 91%XEPT 9%
The model gave 91% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Model check result
Model favoriteSportsBetExpert · 73%
Series resultSportsBetExpert 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1