CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
STATE#137 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2STATE ban
50%67%
STATE · 0 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 44 maps
AncientSTATE ban
44%56%
STATE · 5 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 30 maps
NukeSTATE pick
60%55%
STATE · 6 mapsedge STATE +5%GenOne · 18 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%45%
STATE · 2 mapsedge STATE +5%GenOne · 16 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
40%72%
STATE · 1 mapedge GenOne +32%GenOne · 14 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
40%36%
STATE · 1 mapnearly even +4%GenOne · 7 maps
CacheGenOne ban
60%44%
STATE · 1 mapedge STATE +16%GenOne · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSTATE remove Dust2
2. BanGenOne remove Cache
3. PickSTATE take Nuke
4. PickGenOne take Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanSTATE remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
STATE 19%GenOne 81%
The model gave 81% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
STATE 58%GenOne 42%
The model gave 58% on STATE — the map was taken by STATE.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
STATE 56%GenOne 44%
The model gave 56% on STATE — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 75%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3