POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO3
result vs prediction
struggletonyloss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MASONIC#187 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
60%36%
struggletony · 1 mapedge struggletony +24%MASONIC · 7 maps
NukeMASONIC pick
50%67%
struggletony · 2 mapsedge MASONIC +17%MASONIC · 5 maps
Dust2MASONIC ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 6 maps
Infernostruggletony ban
50%44%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge struggletony +6%MASONIC · 5 maps
Overpassstruggletony ban
50%57%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +7%MASONIC · 3 maps
AnubisMASONIC ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 2 maps
Defaultstruggletony pick
50%40%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge struggletony +10%MASONIC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banstruggletony remove Overpass
2. BanMASONIC remove Anubis
3. Pickstruggletony take Default
4. PickMASONIC take Nuke
5. BanMASONIC remove Dust2
6. Banstruggletony remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (60% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
struggletony 53%MASONIC 47%
The model gave 53% on struggletony — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
struggletony 31%MASONIC 69%
The model gave 69% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteMASONIC · 72%
Series resultMASONIC 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2