CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
100 Thieves#37 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2TDK pick
78%79%
TDK · 14 mapsnearly even -1%100 Thieves · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
64%59%
TDK · 10 mapsedge TDK +5%100 Thieves · 13 maps
MirageTDK ban
43%55%
TDK · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +12%100 Thieves · 7 maps
Overpass100 Thieves ban
78%60%
TDK · 14 mapsedge TDK +18%100 Thieves · 1 map
Inferno100 Thieves pick
40%58%
TDK · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +18%100 Thieves · 8 maps
NukeTDK ban
40%50%
TDK · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +10%100 Thieves · 8 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
44%60%
TDK · 5 mapsedge 100 Thieves +16%100 Thieves · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTDK remove Nuke
2. Ban100 Thieves remove Overpass
3. PickTDK take Dust2
4. Pick100 Thieves take Inferno
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
6. BanTDK remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (64% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
TDK 38%100 Thieves 62%
The model gave 62% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by TDK.
Infernoprediction missed16:14
TDK 30%100 Thieves 70%
The model gave 70% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 66%
Series resultTDK 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2