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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
60%64%
TDK · 1 mapnearly even -4%GenOne · 7 maps
AncientTDK ban
50%50%
TDK · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%56%
TDK · 0 mapsedge GenOne +6%GenOne · 5 maps
InfernoTDK ban
40%67%
TDK · 1 mapedge GenOne +27%GenOne · 2 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
50%43%
TDK · 0 mapsedge TDK +7%GenOne · 3 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
40%50%
TDK · 1 mapedge GenOne +10%GenOne · 0 maps
DefaultTDK pick
50%40%
TDK · 0 mapsedge TDK +10%GenOne · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTDK remove Ancient
2. BanGenOne remove Anubis
3. PickTDK take Default
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanTDK remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct16:13
TDK 60%GenOne 40%
The model gave 60% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
TDK 43%GenOne 57%
The model gave 57% on GenOne — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteTDK · 60%
Series resultTDK 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2