GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Kaleido#154 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2The Huns ban
27%33%
The Huns · 7 mapsedge Kaleido +6%Kaleido · 5 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
43%67%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +24%Kaleido · 5 maps
AncientThe Huns pick
50%57%
The Huns · 4 mapsedge Kaleido +7%Kaleido · 3 maps
InfernoKaleido ban
60%33%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +27%Kaleido · 5 maps
NukeKaleido ban
33%50%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge Kaleido +17%Kaleido · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge The Huns +11%Kaleido · 1 map
OverpassKaleido pick
60%60%
The Huns · 1 mapnearly even +0%Kaleido · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
2. BanKaleido remove Nuke
3. PickThe Huns take Ancient
4. PickKaleido take Overpass
5. BanKaleido remove Inferno
6. BanThe Huns remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
The Huns 46%Kaleido 54%
The model gave 54% on Kaleido — the map was taken by The Huns.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
The Huns 40%Kaleido 60%
The model gave 60% on Kaleido — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 61%
Series resultThe Huns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2