FISSURE Playground 3 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#152 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Staquedloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%50%
The Huns · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Staqued · 0 maps
NukeStaqued ban
60%50%
The Huns · 11 mapsedge The Huns +10%Staqued · 0 maps
AncientThe Huns pick
58%50%
The Huns · 8 mapsedge The Huns +8%Staqued · 0 maps
InfernoThe Huns ban
33%50%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge Staqued +17%Staqued · 0 maps
CacheThe Huns ban
50%50%
The Huns · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Staqued · 0 maps
MirageStaqued pick
38%50%
The Huns · 4 mapsedge Staqued +12%Staqued · 0 maps
OverpassStaqued ban
60%50%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +10%Staqued · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Inferno
2. BanStaqued remove Nuke
3. PickThe Huns take Ancient
4. PickStaqued take Mirage
5. BanStaqued remove Overpass
6. BanThe Huns remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
The Huns 47%Staqued 53%
The model gave 53% on Staqued — the map was taken by The Huns.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
The Huns 53%Staqued 47%
The model gave 53% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 69%
Series resultThe Huns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2