GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientThe Huns pick
56%44%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge The Huns +12%TYLOO · 12 maps
MirageTYLOO pick
43%72%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +29%TYLOO · 14 maps
InfernoThe Huns ban
60%61%
The Huns · 1 mapnearly even -1%TYLOO · 14 maps
NukeThe Huns ban
33%57%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +24%TYLOO · 10 maps
OverpassTYLOO ban
60%50%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +10%TYLOO · 8 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
33%50%
The Huns · 8 mapsedge TYLOO +17%TYLOO · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge The Huns +11%TYLOO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Inferno
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. PickThe Huns take Ancient
4. PickTYLOO take Mirage
5. BanTYLOO remove Overpass
6. BanThe Huns remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
The Huns 64%TYLOO 36%
The model gave 64% on The Huns — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
The Huns 20%TYLOO 80%
The model gave 80% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 74%
Series resultTYLOO 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2