CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageThe Last Resort ban
30%29%
The Last Resort · 6 mapsnearly even +1%Entropy · 3 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
55%33%
The Last Resort · 7 mapsedge The Last Resort +22%Entropy · 2 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
71%44%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +27%Entropy · 5 maps
AncientThe Last Resort pick
56%67%
The Last Resort · 5 mapsedge Entropy +11%Entropy · 2 maps
NukeEntropy ban
36%50%
The Last Resort · 7 mapsedge Entropy +14%Entropy · 0 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort ban
43%40%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Entropy · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
The Last Resort · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +10%Entropy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
2. BanEntropy remove Overpass
3. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Nuke
6. BanThe Last Resort remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
The Last Resort 36%Entropy 64%
The model gave 64% on Entropy — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
The Last Resort 73%Entropy 27%
The model gave 73% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 57%
Series resultThe Last Resort 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2