CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTropa do KinGui#144 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yawara#157 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTropa do KinGui ban
60%50%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +10%Yawara · 14 maps
AnubisTropa do KinGui ban
50%56%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Yawara +6%Yawara · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%47%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +13%Yawara · 13 maps
Dust2Tropa do KinGui pick
50%47%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Yawara · 11 maps
CacheYawara ban
50%27%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +23%Yawara · 7 maps
DefaultYawara pick
60%71%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Yawara +11%Yawara · 3 maps
NukeYawara ban
60%57%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapnearly even +3%Yawara · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTropa do KinGui remove Anubis
2. BanYawara remove Nuke
3. PickTropa do KinGui take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Default
5. BanYawara remove Cache
6. BanTropa do KinGui remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (60% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
Tropa do KinGui 63%Yawara 37%
The model gave 63% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Tropa do KinGui 42%Yawara 58%
The model gave 58% on Yawara — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Model check result
Model favoriteTropa do KinGui · 52%
Series resultTropa do KinGui 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2