IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9z#17 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
40%56%
TYLOO · 11 mapsedge 9z +16%9z · 5 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
73%50%
TYLOO · 11 mapsedge TYLOO +23%9z · 4 maps
Mirage9z ban
71%33%
TYLOO · 10 mapsedge TYLOO +38%9z · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%60%
TYLOO · 8 mapsnearly even -2%9z · 6 maps
Overpass9z pick
55%63%
TYLOO · 7 mapsedge 9z +8%9z · 4 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%60%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge 9z +10%9z · 6 maps
Anubis9z ban
67%40%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +27%9z · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. Ban9z remove Anubis
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. Pick9z take Overpass
5. Ban9z remove Mirage
6. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (58% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct10:13
TYLOO 39%9z 61%
The model gave 61% on 9z — the map was taken by 9z.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
TYLOO 76%9z 24%
The model gave 76% on TYLOO — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 58%
Series result9z 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2