IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DEPO#87 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDEPO pick
62%58%
TYLOO · 9 mapsnearly even +4%DEPO · 8 maps
InfernoTYLOO ban
46%50%
TYLOO · 9 mapsnearly even -4%DEPO · 4 maps
AncientTYLOO pick
78%55%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +23%DEPO · 7 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%54%
TYLOO · 0 mapsnearly even -4%DEPO · 9 maps
NukeDEPO ban
40%50%
TYLOO · 6 mapsedge DEPO +10%DEPO · 0 maps
AnubisDEPO ban
57%40%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +17%DEPO · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
60%50%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +10%DEPO · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanDEPO remove Nuke
3. PickTYLOO take Ancient
4. PickDEPO take Mirage
5. BanDEPO remove Anubis
6. BanTYLOO remove Inferno
DeciderCache (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
TYLOO 50%DEPO 50%
The model gave 50% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
TYLOO 49%DEPO 51%
The model gave 51% on DEPO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 73%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2