HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#32 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Iberian Soul#59 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageTYLOO pick
56%47%
TYLOO · 12 mapsedge TYLOO +9%Iberian Soul · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%50%
TYLOO · 7 mapsedge TYLOO +5%Iberian Soul · 16 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
42%63%
TYLOO · 8 mapsedge Iberian Soul +21%Iberian Soul · 12 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
33%71%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge Iberian Soul +38%Iberian Soul · 10 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
63%38%
TYLOO · 4 mapsedge TYLOO +25%Iberian Soul · 9 maps
AnubisTYLOO ban
29%57%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge Iberian Soul +28%Iberian Soul · 3 maps
DefaultIberian Soul ban
67%50%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +17%Iberian Soul · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
2. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
3. PickTYLOO take Mirage
4. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
5. BanIberian Soul remove Default
6. BanTYLOO remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
TYLOO 15%Iberian Soul 85%
The model gave 85% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
TYLOO 33%Iberian Soul 67%
The model gave 67% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
TYLOO 55%Iberian Soul 45%
The model gave 55% on TYLOO — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 63%
Series resultIberian Soul 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3