IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Kaleido#167 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO pick
78%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +28%Kaleido · 10 maps
Infernopossible decider
42%40%
TYLOO · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Kaleido · 6 maps
MirageKaleido pick
58%67%
TYLOO · 8 mapsedge Kaleido +9%Kaleido · 2 maps
NukeKaleido ban
40%50%
TYLOO · 6 mapsedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 2 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%44%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +6%Kaleido · 5 maps
CacheKaleido ban
60%29%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +31%Kaleido · 3 maps
AnubisTYLOO ban
57%50%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +7%Kaleido · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanKaleido remove Cache
3. PickTYLOO take Ancient
4. PickKaleido take Mirage
5. BanKaleido remove Nuke
6. BanTYLOO remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (42% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
TYLOO 38%Kaleido 62%
The model gave 62% on Kaleido — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
TYLOO 55%Kaleido 45%
The model gave 55% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 86%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2