?
IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Rare Atom#98 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoTYLOO pick
50%50%
TYLOO · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Rare Atom · 6 maps
AncientTYLOO ban
78%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +28%Rare Atom · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
69%63%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge TYLOO +6%Rare Atom · 4 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%73%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +23%Rare Atom · 11 maps
CacheRare Atom pick
60%64%
TYLOO · 1 mapnearly even -4%Rare Atom · 7 maps
AnubisRare Atom ban
57%50%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +7%Rare Atom · 2 maps
NukeRare Atom ban
44%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge Rare Atom +6%Rare Atom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickRare Atom take Cache
5. BanRare Atom remove Anubis
6. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (69% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
TYLOO 50%Rare Atom 50%
The model gave 50% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 78%
Series resultTYLOO 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1