Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
UNiTY#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MOUZ NXT#142 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMOUZ NXT ban
60%50%
UNiTY · 1 mapedge UNiTY +10%MOUZ NXT · 0 maps
InfernoUNiTY pick
60%50%
UNiTY · 1 mapedge UNiTY +10%MOUZ NXT · 0 maps
MirageUNiTY ban
40%50%
UNiTY · 1 mapedge MOUZ NXT +10%MOUZ NXT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNiTY remove Mirage
2. BanMOUZ NXT remove Ancient
3. PickUNiTY take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
UNiTY 63%MOUZ NXT 37%
The model gave 63% on UNiTY — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
UNiTY 37%MOUZ NXT 63%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
UNiTY 50%MOUZ NXT 50%
The model gave 50% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ NXT · 54%
Series resultUNiTY 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3