CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientUNO MILLE pick
62%50%
UNO MILLE · 9 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%ALKA · 14 maps
Dust2ALKA pick
50%62%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge ALKA +12%ALKA · 17 maps
InfernoUNO MILLE ban
56%67%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge ALKA +11%ALKA · 8 maps
NukeALKA ban
50%55%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge ALKA +5%ALKA · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
33%50%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 6 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
50%54%
UNO MILLE · 0 mapsnearly even -4%ALKA · 9 maps
AnubisALKA ban
50%50%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickUNO MILLE take Ancient
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Nuke
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Inferno
DeciderCache (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
UNO MILLE 41%ALKA 59%
The model gave 59% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
UNO MILLE 35%ALKA 65%
The model gave 65% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 60%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2