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BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
UNO MILLE#221 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ODDIK Academy#233 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE ban
56%40%
UNO MILLE · 14 mapsedge UNO MILLE +16%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
54%40%
UNO MILLE · 9 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
AncientUNO MILLE ban
58%60%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsnearly even -2%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
NukeODDIK Academy ban
58%50%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +8%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
64%50%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
OverpassODDIK Academy pick
50%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
CacheODDIK Academy ban
38%50%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +12%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
2. BanODDIK Academy remove Nuke
3. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
4. PickODDIK Academy take Overpass
5. BanODDIK Academy remove Cache
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct22:20
UNO MILLE 61%ODDIK Academy 39%
The model gave 61% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
UNO MILLE 40%ODDIK Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on ODDIK Academy — the map was taken by ODDIK Academy.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
UNO MILLE 48%ODDIK Academy 52%
The model gave 52% on ODDIK Academy — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 64%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3