CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
67%50%
UNO MILLE · 14 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
InfernoPatins da Ferrari ban
62%50%
UNO MILLE · 9 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
OverpassPatins da Ferrari pick
58%50%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +8%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
44%67%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +23%Patins da Ferrari · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%50%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%Patins da Ferrari · 2 maps
AnubisPatins da Ferrari ban
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
63%60%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsnearly even +3%Patins da Ferrari · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Inferno
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickPatins da Ferrari take Overpass
5. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Anubis
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
UNO MILLE 69%Patins da Ferrari 31%
The model gave 69% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
UNO MILLE 64%Patins da Ferrari 36%
The model gave 64% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
UNO MILLE 53%Patins da Ferrari 47%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 58%
Series resultPatins da Ferrari 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3