NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
pre-match prediction
UPGRADE#124 in the worldseries probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Black Phoenix#91 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
40%57%
UPGRADE · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +17%Black Phoenix · 24 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
50%42%
UPGRADE · 0 mapsedge UPGRADE +8%Black Phoenix · 15 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%50%
UPGRADE · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +10%Black Phoenix · 12 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
60%15%
UPGRADE · 1 mapedge UPGRADE +45%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
CacheUPGRADE ban
50%62%
UPGRADE · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
InfernoUPGRADE ban
50%62%
UPGRADE · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
DefaultUPGRADE pick
60%50%
UPGRADE · 1 mapedge UPGRADE +10%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUPGRADE remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
3. PickUPGRADE take Default
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanUPGRADE remove Cache
DeciderNuke (40% / 50%)