CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
50%71%
Ursa · 20 mapsedge Leo +21%Leo · 10 maps
NukeLeo ban
38%29%
Ursa · 12 mapsedge Ursa +9%Leo · 3 maps
MirageLeo pick
50%71%
Ursa · 10 mapsedge Leo +21%Leo · 3 maps
InfernoUrsa ban
33%60%
Ursa · 11 mapsedge Leo +27%Leo · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
50%38%
Ursa · 2 mapsedge Ursa +12%Leo · 9 maps
AncientUrsa ban
50%40%
Ursa · 0 mapsedge Ursa +10%Leo · 6 maps
OverpassLeo ban
40%50%
Ursa · 6 mapsedge Leo +10%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Ancient
2. BanLeo remove Nuke
3. PickUrsa take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Mirage
5. BanLeo remove Overpass
6. BanUrsa remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Ursa 31%Leo 69%
The model gave 69% on Leo — the map was taken by Ursa.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Ursa 59%Leo 41%
The model gave 59% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 56%
Series resultUrsa 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2