CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vasco ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
OverpassDAMAJUANA ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Dust2
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
Vasco 47%DAMAJUANA 53%
The model gave 53% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by Vasco.
Mirageprediction correct22:18
Vasco 53%DAMAJUANA 47%
The model gave 53% on Vasco — the map was taken by Vasco.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 62%
Series resultVasco 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2