CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernopaiN Academy ban
60%60%
Vasco · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
MirageVasco pick
60%60%
Vasco · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
DefaultVasco ban
50%40%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
Dust2paiN Academy ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 0 maps
OverpasspaiN Academy pick
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Default
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
3. PickVasco take Mirage
4. PickpaiN Academy take Overpass
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
Vasco 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Vasco 43%paiN Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Vasco.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
Vasco 50%paiN Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Vasco — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 60%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3