CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Red Feet#222 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
40%43%
Vasco · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Red Feet · 3 maps
InfernoRed Feet pick
50%71%
Vasco · 6 mapsedge Red Feet +21%Red Feet · 3 maps
MirageRed Feet ban
44%43%
Vasco · 5 mapsnearly even +1%Red Feet · 3 maps
DefaultVasco ban
27%50%
Vasco · 7 mapsedge Red Feet +23%Red Feet · 0 maps
AncientVasco pick
67%40%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge Vasco +27%Red Feet · 1 map
AnubisRed Feet ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Red Feet +10%Red Feet · 0 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%40%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +10%Red Feet · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Nuke
2. BanRed Feet remove Anubis
3. PickVasco take Ancient
4. PickRed Feet take Inferno
5. BanRed Feet remove Mirage
6. BanVasco remove Default
DeciderDust2 (40% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Vasco 27%Red Feet 73%
The model gave 73% on Red Feet — the map was taken by Red Feet.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 55%
Series resultRed Feet 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1