CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vexar#141 in the world · win 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEW VISION pick
60%50%
Vexar · 1 mapedge Vexar +10%NEW VISION · 4 maps
DefaultNEW VISION ban
57%50%
Vexar · 3 mapsedge Vexar +7%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Dust2NEW VISION ban
60%50%
Vexar · 1 mapedge Vexar +10%NEW VISION · 2 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%50%
Vexar · 1 mapedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 2 maps
AnubisVexar ban
50%50%
Vexar · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 2 maps
NukeVexar pick
50%50%
Vexar · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 2 maps
MirageVexar ban
50%40%
Vexar · 0 mapsedge Vexar +10%NEW VISION · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVexar remove Anubis
2. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
3. PickVexar take Nuke
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Default
6. BanVexar remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
Vexar 43%NEW VISION 57%
The model gave 57% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by Vexar.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
Vexar 57%NEW VISION 43%
The model gave 57% on Vexar — the map was taken by Vexar.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEW VISION · 58%
Series resultVexar 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2