CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%47%
Virtus.pro · 2 mapsnearly even +3%Oxuji · 13 maps
NukeOxuji pick
60%65%
Virtus.pro · 1 mapedge Oxuji +5%Oxuji · 13 maps
AncientVirtus.pro pick
63%67%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Oxuji · 8 maps
MirageOxuji ban
71%60%
Virtus.pro · 3 mapsedge Virtus.pro +11%Oxuji · 6 maps
InfernoVirtus.pro ban
50%33%
Virtus.pro · 0 mapsedge Virtus.pro +17%Oxuji · 8 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
50%43%
Virtus.pro · 2 mapsedge Virtus.pro +7%Oxuji · 3 maps
DefaultVirtus.pro ban
50%75%
Virtus.pro · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +25%Oxuji · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVirtus.pro remove Inferno
2. BanOxuji remove Anubis
3. PickVirtus.pro take Ancient
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Mirage
6. BanVirtus.pro remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Virtus.pro 56%Oxuji 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Virtus.pro 42%Oxuji 58%
The model gave 58% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 54%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2