Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sangal#48 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Virtus.pro ban
50%50%
Virtus.pro · 16 mapsnearly even +0%Sangal · 0 maps
MirageSangal ban
61%50%
Virtus.pro · 14 mapsedge Virtus.pro +11%Sangal · 0 maps
NukeSangal ban
71%50%
Virtus.pro · 10 mapsedge Virtus.pro +21%Sangal · 0 maps
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
64%50%
Virtus.pro · 10 mapsedge Virtus.pro +14%Sangal · 0 maps
AncientVirtus.pro ban
60%50%
Virtus.pro · 6 mapsedge Virtus.pro +10%Sangal · 0 maps
AnubisSangal pick
44%50%
Virtus.pro · 5 mapsedge Sangal +6%Sangal · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
57%50%
Virtus.pro · 3 mapsedge Virtus.pro +7%Sangal · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVirtus.pro remove Ancient
2. BanSangal remove Nuke
3. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
4. PickSangal take Anubis
5. BanSangal remove Mirage
6. BanVirtus.pro remove Dust2
DeciderCache (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Virtus.pro 42%Sangal 58%
The model gave 58% on Sangal — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Virtus.pro 64%Sangal 36%
The model gave 64% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 82%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2