StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NRG#30 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeVoca ban
57%54%
Voca · 3 mapsnearly even +3%NRG · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%36%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +27%NRG · 7 maps
Dust2Voca pick
73%57%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Voca +16%NRG · 3 maps
MirageNRG ban
67%44%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +23%NRG · 5 maps
CacheNRG pick
43%75%
Voca · 3 mapsedge NRG +32%NRG · 4 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%56%
Voca · 0 mapsedge NRG +6%NRG · 5 maps
OverpassNRG ban
60%40%
Voca · 1 mapedge Voca +20%NRG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanNRG remove Overpass
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. PickNRG take Cache
5. BanNRG remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (63% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
Voca 18%NRG 82%
The model gave 82% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Ancientprediction missed13:16
Voca 77%NRG 23%
The model gave 77% on Voca — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 59%
Series resultNRG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2