Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
Voca#67 in the worldseries probability
70%30%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ROUNDS#231 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientROUNDS ban
67%50%
Voca · 14 mapsedge Voca +17%ROUNDS · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
45%38%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Voca +7%ROUNDS · 9 maps
Dust2ROUNDS ban
71%29%
Voca · 10 mapsedge Voca +42%ROUNDS · 3 maps
MirageROUNDS ban
75%17%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +58%ROUNDS · 8 maps
CacheVoca ban
36%33%
Voca · 7 mapsnearly even +3%ROUNDS · 2 maps
AnubisVoca ban
50%40%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +10%ROUNDS · 1 map
DefaultVoca ban
50%78%
Voca · 0 mapsedge ROUNDS +28%ROUNDS · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Default
2. BanROUNDS remove Dust2
3. BanVoca remove Anubis
4. BanROUNDS remove Mirage
5. BanVoca remove Cache
6. BanROUNDS remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (45% / 38%)