StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Voca pick
64%50%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Voca +14%SportsBetExpert · 4 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%62%
Voca · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +12%SportsBetExpert · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%57%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +10%SportsBetExpert · 3 maps
AnubisSportsBetExpert pick
40%75%
Voca · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +35%SportsBetExpert · 4 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
57%60%
Voca · 3 mapsnearly even -3%SportsBetExpert · 1 map
NukeSportsBetExpert ban
60%57%
Voca · 1 mapnearly even +3%SportsBetExpert · 3 maps
OverpassVoca ban
50%40%
Voca · 2 mapsedge Voca +10%SportsBetExpert · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. PickSportsBetExpert take Anubis
5. BanSportsBetExpert remove Nuke
6. BanVoca remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
Voca 50%SportsBetExpert 50%
The model gave 50% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Voca 53%SportsBetExpert 47%
The model gave 53% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Voca 64%SportsBetExpert 36%
The model gave 64% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 54%
Series resultVoca 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3