PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#92 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Villainous#209 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVoca pick
67%25%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Voca +42%Villainous · 4 maps
MirageVillainous ban
75%40%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +35%Villainous · 6 maps
Dust2Villainous ban
82%50%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Voca +32%Villainous · 2 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%46%
Voca · 0 mapsnearly even +4%Villainous · 9 maps
AnubisVillainous pick
40%64%
Voca · 1 mapedge Villainous +24%Villainous · 7 maps
CacheVoca ban
44%50%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Villainous +6%Villainous · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
43%50%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Villainous +7%Villainous · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanVillainous remove Dust2
3. PickVoca take Ancient
4. PickVillainous take Anubis
5. BanVillainous remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Cache
DeciderNuke (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
Voca 25%Villainous 75%
The model gave 75% on Villainous — the map was taken by Voca.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Voca 84%Villainous 16%
The model gave 84% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 68%
Series resultVoca 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2