CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Walczaki ban
40%73%
Walczaki · 16 mapsedge Black Phoenix +33%Black Phoenix · 11 maps
Nukepossible decider
46%38%
Walczaki · 22 mapsedge Walczaki +8%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
AnubisWalczaki pick
60%29%
Walczaki · 16 mapsedge Walczaki +31%Black Phoenix · 3 maps
InfernoBlack Phoenix pick
50%63%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
69%58%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Walczaki +11%Black Phoenix · 8 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
61%50%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Walczaki +11%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
CacheWalczaki ban
33%50%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Inferno
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanWalczaki remove Cache
DeciderNuke (46% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct23:25
Walczaki 31%Black Phoenix 69%
The model gave 69% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Walczaki 81%Black Phoenix 19%
The model gave 81% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Walczaki 38%Black Phoenix 62%
The model gave 63% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 59%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3