CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Famalicão#153 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFamalicão ban
73%50%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge Walczaki +23%Famalicão · 0 maps
AncientFamalicão ban
63%50%
Walczaki · 4 mapsedge Walczaki +13%Famalicão · 0 maps
AnubisFamalicão pick
63%50%
Walczaki · 4 mapsedge Walczaki +13%Famalicão · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%60%
Walczaki · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Famalicão · 1 map
InfernoWalczaki pick
67%33%
Walczaki · 2 mapsedge Walczaki +34%Famalicão · 2 maps
OverpassWalczaki ban
40%57%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Famalicão +17%Famalicão · 3 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
50%60%
Walczaki · 2 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
2. BanFamalicão remove Nuke
3. PickWalczaki take Inferno
4. PickFamalicão take Anubis
5. BanFamalicão remove Ancient
6. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
Walczaki 47%Famalicão 53%
The model gave 53% on Famalicão — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Walczaki 65%Famalicão 35%
The model gave 65% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 69%
Series resultWalczaki 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2