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Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Metizport#52 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
56%59%
Walczaki · 12 mapsnearly even -3%Metizport · 13 maps
AnubisMetizport ban
60%60%
Walczaki · 16 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 6 maps
InfernoMetizport pick
50%50%
Walczaki · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 10 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
50%62%
Walczaki · 6 mapsedge Metizport +12%Metizport · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
58%60%
Walczaki · 8 mapsnearly even -2%Metizport · 6 maps
CacheMetizport ban
36%43%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge Metizport +7%Metizport · 3 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
31%50%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Metizport +19%Metizport · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanMetizport remove Anubis
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. PickMetizport take Inferno
5. BanMetizport remove Cache
6. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (58% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
Walczaki 47%Metizport 53%
The model gave 53% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
Walczaki 53%Metizport 47%
The model gave 53% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 56%
Series resultMetizport 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2