CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultWalczaki ban
18%42%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge Saint Sinners +24%Saint Sinners · 8 maps
NukeSaint Sinners ban
36%36%
Walczaki · 7 mapsnearly even +0%Saint Sinners · 7 maps
MirageSaint Sinners pick
43%57%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Saint Sinners +14%Saint Sinners · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%54%
Walczaki · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
AnubisWalczaki pick
58%63%
Walczaki · 8 mapsedge Saint Sinners +5%Saint Sinners · 4 maps
InfernoSaint Sinners ban
31%33%
Walczaki · 9 mapsnearly even -2%Saint Sinners · 2 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
50%64%
Walczaki · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +14%Saint Sinners · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickSaint Sinners take Mirage
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Inferno
6. BanWalczaki remove Default
DeciderAncient (57% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Walczaki 24%Saint Sinners 76%
The model gave 76% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 53%
Series resultSaint Sinners 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1